Tom Evslin has an interesting post on his blog Fractals of Change which prompted today's post. Evslin is concerned that if Obama is elected President, the Russians will test him with an aggressive military action similar to their invasion of the country of Georgia. Students of history will remember that during the Cold War an assertive Russia tested many new U.S. Presidents. With our military resources stretched by Iraq and Afghanistan and a new, relatively naive inexperienced President when it comes to foreign affairs, the timing would be perfect for the Russians to take a bold step such as invading Ukraine.
Now imagine you are sitting in Tel Aviv and President Obama announces that he is going to start intensive negotiations with Iran to limit their nuclear development. This would be Israel's worst nightmare because long, drawn out "good faith"negotiations would just give Iran more time to further develop the nuclear weapons Israel fears. With these negotiations underway, it would be difficult for Israel to bomb the Iranian nuclear facilities. Therefore, the logical thing for Israel to do is to preemptively bomb Iran in the early days of the Obama administration before he can open a dialogue with Iran. This event would completely disrupt the world oil supply, probably increase oil prices to record highs and prompt terrorism at new levels around the world. Welcome to the White House President Obama! Forget eight years of idyllic social engineering. Foreign affairs, military preparedness and homeland security would be the only priority!
The Bush administration has been a complete disaster by any means of measurement, but now the U.S. has to live with the results. We have increased the number of our enemies, given up the moral high ground in world affairs and stretched our military capabilities to the breaking point. We in the U.S. can not ignore the current environment and "punish" the Republicans. Now is not the time for the U.S. to elect an inexperienced President with no practical experience in military or foreign affairs. I agree with about 90 percent of Obama's social agenda, but now is not the time for a social scientist as President. I am willing to set aside my strong reservations about McCain's positions on abortion and Supreme Court Justices because of my concerns about foreign affairs and how the U.S. will be tested if Obama is elected.